(no subject)

[randomness]

People who make predictions which later turn out to be completely wrong destroy their credibility, at least with me.

I'm not sure why this is. We're all wrong sometimes, aren't we?

Nonetheless, it's what happens. Personally, I find the more confident they were at the beginning, the less I respect them later. But many people seem to have made good livings of appearing sure of themselves, and it seems like those livings are dependent on never admitting that they were ever wrong, or showing a bit of doubt.

Comments

[lillibet.livejournal.com]

My predictions tend to be fairly pessimistic, so I'm frequently delighted to be wrong.

[r-ness.livejournal.com]

Oh, people have managed to destroy their credibility with pessimistic predictions, too.

I think that you make it clear that other outcomes exist.