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[personal profile] randomness
theloriest posted a Buzzfeed article saying that Ryanair is planning to offer low-fare transatlantic flights. They claim they'll won't be doing this for another four or five years, but we'll see. In any case this is that time in the industry again where low-fare low-service carriers try to break in to that market, what with Norwegian Air Shuttle throwing a few flights across the ocean, Air Transat doing its best to turn itself into a scheduled airline (as opposed to a mainly charter one), air berlin getting in there with a few transatlantic routes, and WestJet flying the occasional 737 from Newfoundland to Ireland and back.

Every few years, some venturesome souls make a crack at breaking into the lucrative (and thus heavily-defended) transatlantic air market. Mostly what happens is that they get some flights going and initiate a bitter and hard-fought price war with the legacy carriers. Trench warfare ensues, the newcomers get run out of business, bought out by other carriers, or end up in a niche. After the dust settles everyone decides that maybe going head-to-head with the legacy carriers who own the vast majority of landing slots isn't going to work in the present business environment, and ticket prices rise again. This has been happening at least since the time of Freddy Laker's Skytrain and PEOPLExpress, which is when I first experienced it first-hand. Sir Richard Branson actually managed to make a go of it, but now Virgin Atlantic is as established as any of the legacy carriers, and in any case (possibly not by coincidence) has decided they'll compete on service, not price.

Anyway, this time Michael O'Leary and Ryanair are considering entering the market. This is big news because Ryanair is a big airline: the largest European airline by passengers carried, and the largest international airline, again by passengers carried. It's a bus with wings, but it's a lot of buses and a lot of bus passengers. If they actually do enter this market, the price war that ensues will dwarf all the previous ones. You may not ever have to fly Ryanair to take advantage of this war, because every legacy carrier competing on a route Ryanair flies will match whatever price Ryanair charges. No matter what it takes.

I've flown Ryanair. More than once, even, and I have a few thoughts. Ryanair is the carrier everyone loves to hate, and there's good reason for that. They nickel and dime you even worse than Spirit Airlines, who are pretty much the worst in North America in that regard. They even charge you a fee to pay them by credit card. (No, you can't get around this by paying cash, although they do take debit cards.) Michael O'Leary is the guy who famously said he'd put coin-operated bathrooms on his planes if he could (he can't, and later claimed he was joking).

The thing about low-fare airlines like Ryanair is that if everything goes right, you're okay. But if something goes wrong, you're screwed. Miss the flight? Too bad, buy another ticket. (To be fair, the whole point is that their tickets are cheap, and the price of the new ticket plus the ticket for the flight you miss may still be cheaper than any alternatives.) More baggage weight than you guessed you had? Start tossing out stuff at check-in or get hit with a penalty fee. And you may find recovering your lost bag a bit of a chore. So the trick is to minimize the chance of a problem affecting your trip plans, because you should not expect them to fix any problem that arises. Service is not part of the ticket price.

After a few experiences with this breed I came up with some personal rules for low-fare, low-service carriers.
1) If anyone else is flying the route, make sure that whatever total the low-fare airline quotes includes all the fees you'll be using: credit card fee, checked bag fee, reserved seat fee, and whatever else you'll be using. Then compare the total cost. Often, you can take advantage of the existence of a low-fare carrier's fares without ever flying on them by flying with the legacy carrier who's trying to drive the low-fare carrier out of competition on that route.

2) Remember to add in the cost of their dedicated shuttle bus to the cost of getting to wherever you are from the remote secondary airport they use. Ryanair tends to fly into and out of airports that are converted Cold War airbases that local governments are desperate to get flights into and out of. Thus they pay much less for landing rights, and they don't have to fight for crowded slots.

This is particularly important when you're flying to someplace like Beauvais, which is a Paris airport the way that Manchester is a Boston airport. Difference is, there are painfully few alternatives to Ryanair's shuttle at Beauvais. You could rent a car, I guess.

I can imagine Ryanair flying to Providence Portsmouth and calling it Boston, or flying to Stewart and saying they fly to New York, for example. For Miami they could fly to Fort Lauderdale or Palm Beach. Mitchell International, here comes Ryanair! You get the idea.

3) Never try to make an immediate connection on either end of a low-fare flight. I use them for point-to-point trips, and schedule a couple of days on either end of the flight if I have to go anywhere. Usually, this is fine. If you're going from Stansted to Hahn, for example, you probably want to visit London for a couple of days before your flight. And you probably won't mind visiting Frankfurt for a day or two after. But trying to use them to do something like Edinburgh to Beauvais with a same-day connection in Dublin is rolling the dice. And connecting between two low-fare flights from two different low-fare carriers is even more fraught. JetStar from Perth to Singapore and then Singapore to Chennai on Tigerair? Good luck with that. At least if they strand you, you'll be stranded at Changi. Better just to get yourself a bed in Singapore for a couple of days and try all the tasty food.

4) The seats are small. Personally, my measure of a small seat is one where I'm not comfortable. As I'm a small person the only time I've really been in a seat that was too small for me was five hours on a second-class bus from Aranyaprathet to Bangkok. (Thai and Vietnamese non-luxury buses are sometimes built for people smaller even than me. Ever since, I've waited for the first-class bus.) But anyone not fun-sized like me should be aware that low-fare airlines pack the maximum number of passengers into the minimum amount of space. For me, that's sometimes pretty snug. You may call it something less friendly.

5) I seem to have just gotten email from flydubai with their latest deals. That reminds me of another point: even when they're not in some remote secondary airport as in point 2), low-fare airlines are often relegated to a far-off terminal away from all the "real" airlines that's not easy to get to or from. flydubai is a great example. They operate out of Terminal 2 at Dubai International.

Dubai International has three terminals: Terminal 3 is for Emirates and its friends. It's brand new and very nice. Terminal 1 is for most airlines not in a special arrangement with Emirates, and is showing its age but generally okay. Most importantly, you can walk between Terminal 1 and Terminal 3, and both of them are connected to a Dubai Metro station.

Terminal 2, not so much. Terminal 2 is basically a large shed on the other side of the runways where they stick all the low-fare carriers. Getting to and from Terminal 2 is a non-trivial operation, as it only gets bus service. So much so that sometimes it seems getting to Sharjah International, fifteen miles away, is easier than getting to the other terminals.

There are any number of other multi-terminal airports which do this to their low-fare airlines, Paris Charles de Gaulle included. Check before you fly, or end up miles from where you expected with time running out before your flight and no way to get to the other terminal except an expensive taxi.
All that said, I fly low-fare carriers quite a lot. I haven't ever taken Spirit myself, because there are too many alternatives with competitive prices. But in Europe and Asia, sometimes the low-fare airline really has a great price, even after all the fees and inconvenience are added in. JetStar, Tigerair, SpiceJet, AirAsia, Air Arabia, Ryanair, EasyJet, they've all been part of my itineraries and they likely will be again someday. I even have some pleasant memories of flying on some of them. But it's best to use them judiciously, eyes open about their limitations.

Those are five of my rules. If I've missed anything, tell me in the comments. :)

(no subject)

Date: 2015-03-21 01:37 am (UTC)
From: [personal profile] jtu
Thanks for posting this! I'm currently trying to figure out how to get from PMI to BOS at the end of June, so this was very timely advice (especially on not chaining two same-day itineraries, which I'd been considering).

(no subject)

Date: 2015-03-22 05:28 am (UTC)
From: [personal profile] jtu
Yes! I've never been! It's going to be a sailing trip - I'm really looking forward to it.

Any advice on flying from there to Boston? I'm time constrained to roughly June 27-29 for my flight date(s). The most promising thing I've seen is $932 one-way (YIKES) on Aer Lingus with a 2hr layover in Dublin. I might also see if I can scrape together enough UA miles for a saver flight if I feel like waiting/risking for those to show up, though I haven't checked out what the possible itineraries might be.

(no subject)

Date: 2015-03-22 09:22 pm (UTC)
From: [personal profile] jtu
Ah, no, not sailing back - I'm flying from SFO to CPH and hopping my way down to Mallorca over the course of a week. The sailing will just be around Mallorca, so starting and ending near PMI. I need to find a one-way fare that gets me from PMI to BOS. Turns out one ways TO Europe are a little better than one ways back out.

I've found that UA sometimes doesn't open up award tickets until closer to the departure date, which is why I might wait until closer to June if I'm feeling in a risk accepting mindset.

(no subject)

Date: 2015-03-23 01:21 am (UTC)
From: [personal profile] jtu
Ooooh, thank you! $780 is much more palatable than ~$950. How did you find these other ones? I've been using google.com/flights for running cost comparison.

Good to know about the double open jaw. Unfortunately I already booked SFO-CPH (Norwegian Air ~$450) but I'll have to keep that in mind for the next time I decide to do something crazy like this again. Though... I *do* need to go from BOS to SFO sometime after July 4. Do you think I can do anything with that?

(no subject)

Date: 2015-03-17 02:11 pm (UTC)
drwex: (Troll)
From: [personal profile] drwex
Thanks for writing this. I had quite forgotten Skytrain and that era.

(no subject)

Date: 2015-03-17 04:19 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] bikergeek.livejournal.com
Oh ghod, Freddie Laker, I remember the commercials. (Although you can find pretty much anything on YouTube, nobody's uploaded any of the old commercials.) And People Express (the 1980s version).

Yeah, RyanAir, along with Spirit, is one of those carriers I refuse to use, because of their habit of nickel-and-diming their customers. Lest anyone forget, these were the guys who seriously proposed outfitting their aircraft with pay toilets.

Given that the Euro is tanking vs. the USD, if we do indeed end up with a fare war, it might be a good time to take advantage of low fares and a favorable exchange rate to take a trip to Europe.

(no subject)

Date: 2015-03-18 02:55 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] r-ness.livejournal.com
I'm really surprised no one put up those commercials. Sir Freddie was quite a character.

I find there are actually some times when Ryanair is the right answer. For me they're unlike Spirit, where there's just too much competition on routes for me to even consider flying them. It probably helps in my case that their destinations outside the United States are in Latin America and the Caribbean. In a contest between Spirit and Avianca, Copa, and LAN, I choose the Latin Americans every time. The deals are often better even on the best Latin American carriers and the service is in a completely different league. And I just never consider them within the United States because I've never been in a market they serve at all well.

Lest anyone forget, these were the guys who seriously proposed outfitting their aircraft with pay toilets.

Michael O'Leary did later claim he was only joking. Fortunately, European airline regulators never would have let him get away with pay toilets.

Possibly the worst thing about Ryanair and Spirit is the apparent contempt in which the CEOs (Michael O'Leary and Ben Baldanza, respectively) hold their customers.

Given that the Euro is tanking vs. the USD, if we do indeed end up with a fare war, it might be a good time to take advantage of low fares and a favorable exchange rate to take a trip to Europe.

We'll have to see how it goes. Ryanair appears to be in negotiations to buy long-haul aircraft, which is a process that has a long lead-time. By the time they actually start flying the exchange rates may well have shifted again. But it's worth watching. They could also lease, which might move the schedule up.

(no subject)

Date: 2015-03-18 04:19 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] bikergeek.livejournal.com
When I went to Costa Rica, I flew Delta. I'd heard good things about COPA, but it seems that if you want to fly on one of the Latin American carriers, you almost have to fly out of New York; they tend not to serve Boston.

Spirit in general seems to cater to budget-minded "sun-n-fun" travelers. I'm almost picturing an airplane full of drunken frat children on the way to vacation in Florida or Jamaica for spring break.

(no subject)

Date: 2015-03-19 01:52 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] r-ness.livejournal.com
it seems that if you want to fly on one of the Latin American carriers, you almost have to fly out of New York; they tend not to serve Boston.

Yeah, this is pretty much true. On the other hand, Boston doesn't get that much service from Spirit either, particularly if you want to avoid connecting using them.

Spirit in general seems to cater to budget-minded "sun-n-fun" travelers. I'm almost picturing an airplane full of drunken frat children on the way to vacation in Florida or Jamaica for spring break.

Their website design really makes it look that way! That phonebook yellow has got to go.

(no subject)

Date: 2015-03-19 03:58 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] bikergeek.livejournal.com
Not to mention, Spirit uses lots of double-entendres in their advertising. Like, they once had a "MILF sale" (Many Islands, Low Fares), among other things. They're currently running a $69 fare sale.

(no subject)

Date: 2015-03-18 02:39 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] r-ness.livejournal.com
Sure! Glad you liked it.

(no subject)

Date: 2015-03-17 02:43 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] rednikki.livejournal.com
This is all extremely good advice.

Fort Lauderdale isn't too bad. There's a free bus that connects to the TriMet station which gets you to Miami quite conveniently.

(no subject)

Date: 2015-03-18 02:58 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] r-ness.livejournal.com
This is all extremely good advice.

Thanks!

Fort Lauderdale isn't too bad. There's a free bus that connects to the TriMet station which gets you to Miami quite conveniently.

True! I didn't mean to put down FLL, but it seemed like a good example of an airport that wasn't as close to its city as the primary one. That it has a good transit connection makes it better than many of Ryanair's favorite airports.

(no subject)

Date: 2015-03-17 02:52 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] jab2.livejournal.com
i was just looking at ryanair's itineraries between madrid and paris last night! easyjet has more flights and actually goes to a paris airport *in* paris. i'm thinking easyjet all the way....

(no subject)

Date: 2015-03-18 03:16 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] r-ness.livejournal.com
I really like EasyJet. I managed to get onto a flight at Belfast International after being ridiculously late and not having printed out my boarding pass as well. They let me on despite two separate errors each of which would have had Ryanair telling me to sod off, pay more money, or both. So I have warm fuzzy feelings about EasyJet.

Beauvais-Tillé is really kind of a joke. I looked at Ryanair's itineraries between Dublin and Beauvais and simply couldn't come up with a good reason to put myself through that when Aer Lingus didn't cost appreciably more after fees and flew me to an actual Paris airport as well.

(Don't even get me started about Châlons Vatry Airport. It's almost as far from Paris as Bradley is from Boston, but Ryanair calls it "Paris Vatry".)

Also in this absurd category is calling Girona and Reus "Barcelona" airports.

Edited to fix boldface.
Edited Date: 2015-03-18 03:17 am (UTC)

(no subject)

Date: 2015-03-17 03:16 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] frotz.livejournal.com
Transatlantic fares seem mostly to be about a 3x markup compared to the same trip distance within North America. While there are certainly possible issues with cost of providing service on the eastern end of that, it still leaves a whooooole lot of room for competition, and since they figured out how to pack a lot more airplanes into the North Atlantic track system, there aren't any particular capacity problems.

(no subject)

Date: 2015-03-17 05:32 pm (UTC)
redbird: closeup of me drinking tea, in a friend's kitchen (Default)
From: [personal profile] redbird
I think it depends on where within North America: in the winter, I used to regularly see New York-London for less than a lot of New York-Other US City options.

(no subject)

Date: 2015-03-18 03:24 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] r-ness.livejournal.com
Yeah, agreed. These routes make money.

Another way to compare is to look at other, longer routes which cost the same. Flights to Istanbul (from the North American East Coast) are often competitive with ones to London, yet it's just about half again as long a flight. And there are times when crossing the Pacific doesn't cost much more than crossing the Atlantic.

If there are capacity problems, I think it's more because the existing airlines are camping out on the landing slots at gateway airports than it is the North Atlantic track system.

(no subject)

Date: 2015-03-17 05:02 pm (UTC)
mangosteen: (Default)
From: [personal profile] mangosteen
It's interesting how much of this works out to "shift all IROPS costs onto customers."

(no subject)

Date: 2015-03-18 03:33 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] r-ness.livejournal.com
Yeah, although I feel like it's an effort to shift all costs onto customers, not just when the unexpected happens. Some low-cost carriers charge a fee if they have to print a boarding pass for you, for example.

Ryanair charges €15 or £15 for this. Spirit only charges $10!

It's a business model, I guess. But I don't like it.

(no subject)

Date: 2015-03-18 01:39 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] dianec42.livejournal.com
One thing I generally like about transatlantic flights is the higher level of service. I might be getting old, but you couldn't PAY me to take RyanAir across an ocean.

(no subject)

Date: 2015-03-18 03:50 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] r-ness.livejournal.com
It's true! I passed up the chance to fly Air Transat from Montreal to Paris. It's how I ended up on the upper deck of an Air France 747 in what is essentially Economy Plus (34" pitch) for something like $30 more. I'm definitely willing to pay to avoid Air Transat's sardine-can experience over an ocean.

But I have fond memories of PEOPLExpress's transatlantic service. You got in line and waited to board, just like at a bus station. Then, after you boarded, flight attendants took your credit card imprint to pay for your flight ticket right on the plane!

You could never do this now. Security wants to know if you're on the no-fly list before you even get close to a plane.

(no subject)

Date: 2015-03-19 02:33 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] achinhibitor.livejournal.com
The difference if Ryanair gets into it is that Ryanair has a huge volume of other business. In a lot of cases, the low-fair airline has only a few routes, and the established carriers can undercut them on their routes and make it up by raising prices slightly on non-competing routes. In this case, Ryanair can do long-term price wars in the trans-Atlantic market -- and if the established carriers raise their other prices in Europe, Ryanair gets more business!

(no subject)

Date: 2015-03-19 01:55 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] r-ness.livejournal.com
In fact, this is why I said "If they actually do enter this market, the price war that ensues will dwarf all the previous ones" in my original post.

Norwegian thought they had the route network in Europe to fight a price war but they evidently are having some financial problems now. Overambition, perhaps.

It'll be interesting to see what happens.

(no subject)

Date: 2015-03-19 03:39 am (UTC)
nathanjw: (hat)
From: [personal profile] nathanjw
Surely you're familiar with this: http://www.fascinatingaida.co.uk/videos/view/cheap_flights
(it seems on point in any event)

(no subject)

Date: 2015-03-19 01:56 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] r-ness.livejournal.com
I'm not! That's great. Thanks for that!

I think bedfull_o_books will appreciate it, too. :)

(no subject)

Date: 2015-03-20 04:01 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] dianec42.livejournal.com
Oh well, that was quick:
http://www.bbc.com/news/business-31975456

"Ryanair abandons plans to operate transatlantic flights"

(no subject)

Date: 2015-03-20 08:08 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] r-ness.livejournal.com
That was quick!

It's not working out very well for Norwegian right now, which the story mentions. Perhaps that's part of it.

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