(no subject)

[randomness]

Trump had a really good night on Tuesday.

Nate Silver: "I don’t know what’s going to happen in Indiana. But Trump’s strong results over the past two weeks have changed the Hoosier State from potentially being “must-win” for Trump to probably being “must-win” for his opponents."

The ball's in your court, Governor Pence.

Comments

[chris-warrior.livejournal.com]

i'd been meaning to ask someone and you strike me as the sort of person who may know; can the GOP have a contested convention if Trump hits his target number? or is he then a lock? i thought i understood that they could get some sort of process going to challenge his nomination at the convention even if he did have his target votes, but i should know for sure before i bet on Kasich to be forced in as a long shot. ;)

[r-ness.livejournal.com]

The more I look, the more complicated it all looks. I'm not sure. I think having 1237 before the rules committee meetings which take place before the convention means Trump has the votes to make sure convention rules go his way, and all else follows, but I'm not sure.

I also believe, but am not sure, that most of the imagined ways to stop Trump if he has 1237 delegates involve challenging his delegates, which is harder than if he hasn't got 1237 at all.

I guess the answer is that I don't know.

(Note that I am not particularly a fan of Gov. Kasich.)

[chris-warrior.livejournal.com]

i don't like Kasich either, but he's far more moderate than Cruz, and not as nuts as Trump. Clinton is slipping against Trump, and has *never* beat Kasich in a national poll. so it's all math; if you're the GOP (and, theoretically, if you're the DNC, though this year they haven't played ball that way, and i think it's because they figure they're running with the loons so why not pander) you choose your strongest candidate nationally to run against whoever the opposition chooses. half the people who know Trump have very strong negative feelings about him. i'm just flabbergasted by this race, and the fact that the two top contenders are pretty universally disparaged by half the population... including by people who before would have supported "their" party, but who know are starting to realize we've been duped by money.