(no subject)

[randomness]

People who make predictions which later turn out to be completely wrong destroy their credibility, at least with me.

I'm not sure why this is. We're all wrong sometimes, aren't we?

Nonetheless, it's what happens. Personally, I find the more confident they were at the beginning, the less I respect them later. But many people seem to have made good livings of appearing sure of themselves, and it seems like those livings are dependent on never admitting that they were ever wrong, or showing a bit of doubt.

Comments

[awfief.livejournal.com]

Hrm.....does it depend on how sure they are of their predictions? Is there a difference for you if the prediction is made by arrogantly saying "I bet this will happen because of that" as opposed to saying "I think this will happen because of that"?

For me it destroys their "prediction credibility" (or at least makes me more cautious of it) but not necessarily their "factual credibility"....your post makes it sound like all types of credibility are destroyed, is that the case?

[r-ness.livejournal.com]

I think their "factual credibility" takes a hit also, because I begin to wonder about their judgement in general.

But yes, it has a lot to do with how sure they are about their predictions. Arrogance has a lot to do with it.