(no subject)

[randomness]

People who make predictions which later turn out to be completely wrong destroy their credibility, at least with me.

I'm not sure why this is. We're all wrong sometimes, aren't we?

Nonetheless, it's what happens. Personally, I find the more confident they were at the beginning, the less I respect them later. But many people seem to have made good livings of appearing sure of themselves, and it seems like those livings are dependent on never admitting that they were ever wrong, or showing a bit of doubt.

Comments

[r-ness.livejournal.com]

I think their "factual credibility" takes a hit also, because I begin to wonder about their judgement in general.

But yes, it has a lot to do with how sure they are about their predictions. Arrogance has a lot to do with it.